ECONPULSE

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EconPulse pairs the consensus, the crowd, and the market for the same macro event — and blends them into one number, the EconPulse Probability (EPP).

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A US recession occurs in 2027
<a href="https://econpulse.io/?utm_source=badge&utm_medium=embed&utm_campaign=recession-2027" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img src="https://api.econpulse.io/v1/badge.svg?outcome=recession-2027" alt="EconPulse EPP: A US recession occurs in 2027" width="440" height="96"></a>
US unemployment (U-3) is at or above 4.5% in July 2026
<a href="https://econpulse.io/?utm_source=badge&utm_medium=embed&utm_campaign=unemployment-4_5-jul-2026" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img src="https://api.econpulse.io/v1/badge.svg?outcome=unemployment-4_5-jul-2026" alt="EconPulse EPP: US unemployment (U-3) is at or above 4.5% in July 2026" width="440" height="96"></a>
A US recession occurs in 2026
<a href="https://econpulse.io/?utm_source=badge&utm_medium=embed&utm_campaign=recession-2026" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img src="https://api.econpulse.io/v1/badge.svg?outcome=recession-2026" alt="EconPulse EPP: A US recession occurs in 2026" width="440" height="96"></a>
The Fed holds rates (no change) at the July 2026 meeting
<a href="https://econpulse.io/?utm_source=badge&utm_medium=embed&utm_campaign=fed-hold-jul-2026" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img src="https://api.econpulse.io/v1/badge.svg?outcome=fed-hold-jul-2026" alt="EconPulse EPP: The Fed holds rates (no change) at the July 2026 meeting" width="440" height="96"></a>
The Fed makes ZERO rate cuts in 2026
<a href="https://econpulse.io/?utm_source=badge&utm_medium=embed&utm_campaign=fed-no-cut-2026" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img src="https://api.econpulse.io/v1/badge.svg?outcome=fed-no-cut-2026" alt="EconPulse EPP: The Fed makes ZERO rate cuts in 2026" width="440" height="96"></a>
The Fed cuts rates at least once in 2026 (complement of zero cuts)
<a href="https://econpulse.io/?utm_source=badge&utm_medium=embed&utm_campaign=fed-any-cut-2026" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img src="https://api.econpulse.io/v1/badge.svg?outcome=fed-any-cut-2026" alt="EconPulse EPP: The Fed cuts rates at least once in 2026 (complement of zero cuts)" width="440" height="96"></a>
Real GDP grows (> 0.0%) in Q2 2026
<a href="https://econpulse.io/?utm_source=badge&utm_medium=embed&utm_campaign=gdp-grows-q2-2026" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img src="https://api.econpulse.io/v1/badge.svg?outcome=gdp-grows-q2-2026" alt="EconPulse EPP: Real GDP grows (&gt; 0.0%) in Q2 2026" width="440" height="96"></a>
CPI (year-over-year) is at or above 4% for the July 2026 reading
<a href="https://econpulse.io/?utm_source=badge&utm_medium=embed&utm_campaign=cpi-hot-yoy-jul-2026" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img src="https://api.econpulse.io/v1/badge.svg?outcome=cpi-hot-yoy-jul-2026" alt="EconPulse EPP: CPI (year-over-year) is at or above 4% for the July 2026 reading" width="440" height="96"></a>
More than 80,000 nonfarm jobs are added in July 2026
<a href="https://econpulse.io/?utm_source=badge&utm_medium=embed&utm_campaign=jobs-above-80k-jul-2026" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><img src="https://api.econpulse.io/v1/badge.svg?outcome=jobs-above-80k-jul-2026" alt="EconPulse EPP: More than 80,000 nonfarm jobs are added in July 2026" width="440" height="96"></a>

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